How House Prices Have Grown Since
1966
Melbourne has seen a number of
periods of very strong growth in house
prices.
In addition to
the last few years, Melbourne has recorded four periods
of sustained growth in demand and prices in the past 40
years.
Yearly growth
in house prices of over 10 per cent was recorded between 1972–1974,
1984–1985, 1987–1990 and between 1997 and
2002.
The highest
growth was recorded in 1973, when the median house price grew from
$14,500 to $19,800. This result was nearly repeated the following
year, when the median grew from $19,800 to $25,800. Over two years
this represented a 78 per cent increase – substantial in anyone’s
language.
To put that
into perspective: if that were applied over the past two years, the
median would have increased from $472,000 to $847,800. Thankfully,
this has not happened.
While the last
few years have not been as robust as those recorded in the earlier
REIV sales data, we are in another period of strong price
growth.
They key
difference between now and the other periods is that in 2008 the
median house price fell by $66,500 or 14 per cent, due to the global
financial crisis. That was the most significant reduction since the
REIV started recording median prices in
1966.
This means
that when assessing current strong price increases, the fact that
most of the growth last year was recovering lost ground needs to be
taken into account.
Success
Of The First Home Buyer Assistance Shows It Should
Continue
The REIV has welcomed
State Government figures showing that Victorians responded very
positively to the higher levels of assistance for first home buyers
and said it is time to consider its future.
REIV CEO Enzo
Raimondo said that the Grant, Bonus and Federal Government Boost had
a significant and positive impact on the property market and the
wider economy.
“The Federal Government Boost has now stopped and
the State Government Bonus is due to end on 30 June.
“The latest
ABS housing finance figures show a direct link between the
assistance and the number of first home buyers. There was an 18.6
per cent drop in the number of loans to first home buyers in
November 2009.
“The number of first home buyers will continue to
drop as the assistance continues to be reduced.
“In light of the
positive impact on the property market and the wider economy it is
time that the State considered the future shape of the
assistance.
“When the Grant was introduced in 2000 the median
price of a house was around $242,000, and in the September quarter
2009 it had doubled to $480,000. Over that time the Grant has
remained at $7,000.
“When the assistance was increased through
the Boost and the Bonus it had a positive impact and it would be a
shame if after 30 June the only assistance for first home buyers was
the Grant.
“As part of its May budget, the State Government
should consider restoring the total assistance back to the value it
was in 2000 or giving first home buyers an exemption from stamp
duty,” Mr Raimondo concluded.
**articles taken from
REIV website.